Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.097503e-04 0.000130 0.000152 0.000178 0.000205 0.000235 0.000269
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.000748e-05 0.000106 0.000135 0.000169 0.000210 0.000255 0.000308
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.589154e-05 0.000094 0.000127 0.000169 0.000219 0.000276 0.000345
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.360910e-05 0.000083 0.000120 0.000167 0.000225 0.000294 0.000378
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.368023e-05 0.000073 0.000111 0.000163 0.000228 0.000305 0.000403
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.495605e-05 0.000064 0.000103 0.000157 0.000228 0.000314 0.000424
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.859054e-05 0.000057 0.000097 0.000154 0.000230 0.000324 0.000446
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.190962e-05 0.000048 0.000087 0.000146 0.000225 0.000325 0.000458
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.991797e-05 0.000047 0.000088 0.000151 0.000238 0.000348 0.000496
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.826594e-05 0.000046 0.000089 0.000157 0.000251 0.000373 0.000536
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.652901e-05 0.000044 0.000090 0.000161 0.000262 0.000394 0.000572
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.492262e-05 0.000043 0.000090 0.000165 0.000273 0.000415 0.000609
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.064440e-05 0.000036 0.000084 0.000163 0.000280 0.000437 0.000655
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.764515e-06 0.000029 0.000075 0.000156 0.000280 0.000451 0.000690
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.636676e-06 0.000025 0.000071 0.000155 0.000288 0.000473 0.000736
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.011459e-06 0.000022 0.000067 0.000154 0.000294 0.000494 0.000781
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.723914e-06 0.000018 0.000061 0.000149 0.000296 0.000508 0.000816
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.681112e-07 0.000014 0.000056 0.000144 0.000296 0.000520 0.000849
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.891367e-07 0.000012 0.000051 0.000141 0.000298 0.000533 0.000884
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 9.647732e-08 0.000009 0.000045 0.000133 0.000293 0.000537 0.000904
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.422663e-08 0.000008 0.000046 0.000138 0.000308 0.000570 0.000967
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.763753e-08 0.000008 0.000046 0.000144 0.000325 0.000605 0.001033
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 3.464106e-09 0.000007 0.000046 0.000147 0.000339 0.000637 0.001094